TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS...................................................... i

I.       Introduction................................................................................................................ 1

II.     The Worsening Crisis............................................................................................... 2

A.      The Economy................................................................................................................. 2

B.      Repression..................................................................................................................... 3

III.   ZANU-PF: Change from within?........................................................................... 5

A.      The Goromonzi Rebellion.............................................................................................. 5

B.      the State of the Factions............................................................................................... 6

1.      The Mujuru camp.................................................................................................. 6

2.      The Mnangagwa camp.......................................................................................... 6

3.      The Mugabe camp................................................................................................. 7

IV.    The MDC: decision time........................................................................................... 8

A.      An End to Factionalism?............................................................................................... 8

B.      Prospects for a Joint Strategy..................................................................................... 9

C.      The Save Zimbabwe Campaign..................................................................................... 10

V.     The Way Forward..................................................................................................... 11

A.      Five Critical Months................................................................................................... 11

B.      Common Ground Between ZANU-PF and the MDC?.................................................... 11

C.      A Controversial Church Initiative............................................................................ 12

D.      A Roadmap for Change.........................................................