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OPINION: Friday
January 30, 2009, will go down as one of the most significant days in the
political history of Zimbabwe. This is the day that the Movement for Democratic
Change (MDC) party decided to vote in favour of joining the Southern African
Development Community (SADC) brokered government of national unity (GNU). In so doing, the
Morgan Tsvangirai-led MDC opted to gamble itself into partnership with the
Arthur Mutambara-led MDC and the Robert Mugabe-led ZANU PF party. Naturally, some
political analysts and critics have greeted this new development in Harare with
a huge air of pessimism and skepticism. Some of them immediately dismissing the
whole set up as a “political marriage of convenience”. Others have even gone to
the extent of dismissing it as a political mirage that will only flatter to
deceive the long-suffering Zimbabweans yet again. Ideally, most
opponents of the proposed new government set up in Harare have raised the
following key points: - The new set up is a deliberate
affront to the democratic will of the Zimbabwean majorities as popularly
expressed in the harmonised elections that were held on March 29 2008.
- It does not recognise that there
was a deliberate effort to undermine the actual outcome of the said
electoral process that gave a leadership advantage to the Tsvangirai-led
MDC in spite of a polling environment that was skewed heavily in favour of
ZANU PF.
Secondly, the SADC
endorsed process also seems to recognise the outcome of the controversial June
27 2008 presidential run-off election that was boycotted by the opposition
mainly due to the upsurge of political violence prior to the election day. The incumbent,
Mugabe eventually won the poll as the sole candidate. However, all the three
African observer missions that had been given the exclusive right to monitor
the election were unanimous in their condemnation of the flawed poll. The new set up in
Harare has also been criticised as a mere reincarnation of the much maligned
dispute resolution of the 2008 Kenyan electoral process in which the rivalry
between the two key protagonists was eventually resolved with the setting up of
a government of national unity. The fragile
arrangement resulted in Mwai Kibaki remaining as the President while Raila
Odinga had to settle for the hastily created post of Prime Minister. This model
has been heavily criticised as a faulty way of rewarding political violence
against electoral popularity. Last but not least,
many critics also felt that the government of national unity model was not the
most ideal in the Zimbabwean situation. They instead
suggested other alternatives such as setting up a neutral transitional
authority or even organising another election under United Nations supervision
to try and settle the Zimbabwean political impasse once and for all. Yet at the same
time, there is a divergent view. There are also those
who have opted to hope against hope and give the whole idea of a government of
national unity a chance. They have chosen to let nature run its course and
assumed that against all odds, the arrangement may represent the most plausible
way out of the crippling political impasse the country has been experiencing
for over a decade now. Guarded optimism
appears to be the rallying cry for this school of thought. It is based on a
presumption of cautious expectation that it is still possible to salvage a
semblance of democratic credibility even with the highly compromised nature of
the government of national unity. They assert that while compromise may be a
bitter pill to swallow, it has been proven time and again in history that it is
indeed a necessary evil. They further argue
that while the GNU option may be riddled with the potholes of divisive
political emotionalism, it is the most realistic and plausible of all options
available for Zimbabwe to move out of the political woods. The very fact that
it is a co-operative concept of conflict resolution simply means that it can
eventually set up the nation on the path of peaceful reconciliation. This view is best
represented in the words of one of the chief brokers of the GNU, the president
of South Africa, Kgalema Motlanthe. Asked to defend his stance in support of
the new set up in Harare at a lively public debate at the World Economic Forum
in Davos, Motlanthe said that the fact that it a peaceful option makes it the
best one since it is cheaper than the cost of the cheapest of all wars that
could have been waged in attempt to resolve the long standing impasse in
Zimbabwe. And so the debate
rages on and on. But after all has
been said and done, the big question that remains to be answered is whether or
not the decision by the MDC to join up with ZANU PF was strategically wise one
or not. Well as they say, the jury is still out on this one. Only time will
tell! Be that as it may,
what remains clear is the fact that the MDC decision to endorse the SADC
brokered process represents a decisive shift on its part from the flamboyant
idealism that exuded from its launch in 1999 to a much more down-to-earth
practical approach. The MDC appears to have opted to go down the path of
realism and pragmatism in its ongoing quest for democratic change in Zimbabwe. Perhaps the MDC has
now accepted the fact that while it was formed to promote democratic idealism
in the Zimbabwean political landscape, the harsh reality is that this has to be
seen in the broader context of an on-going process instead of a tail-ended
battle for change. It is a marathon
political process that involves engaging one of the most maligned but very wily
and calculative politicians in the world today as represented by the person of
Mugabe. This new position of
the MDC is best pronounced in the following textual extract from the statement
read out by its leader Tsvangirai at the press conference in Harare on Friday: “Let us make no
mistake, by joining an inclusive government, we are not saying that this is a
solution to the Zimbabwe crisis, instead our participation signifies that we
have chosen to continue the struggle for a democratic Zimbabwe in a new arena.
This agreement is a significant milestone on our journey to democracy but it
does not signify that we have arrived at our destination – we are committed to
establishing a democratic Zimbabwe regardless of how long that struggle takes
us.” * Daniel Molokele is
a Zimbabwean human rights lawyer and political analyst. – ZimOnline |